Association of European Conjuncture Institutes

WG on Commodity prices:

• Commodity Prices : Recent Developments - The Early-2020's shocks are behind us, V. Kaitila, ETLA, Helsinki

WG on External environment:

• The External Environment, A. Drygalla, A. Lindner, IWH, Halle

Medium Term:

WG on World trade:

• Trade Outlook, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Econonomic Tools Workshop

• Tracking Short-Term Economic Activity in the United Kingdom, A. Kaya, NIESR, London

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• DSA with and without Crises : Insights from a Simplistic Simulation Exercise, J. Boysen-Hogrefe, IFW, Kiel

Others:

• Euro Area Outlook and Monetary Policy, A. Ventula Veghazy, ECB,Frankfurt
• The Draghi Report and European Business Priorities for the Next Political Cycle, L. Vinhas de Souza, BusinessEurope
• European Economic Forecast, L. Badone, EC

WG on Commodity prices:

• Commodity Prices: Recent Developments, Kaitila, V., ETLA, Helsinki

WG on External environment:

Medium Term:

WG on World trade:

• Trade Slowdown and Fragmentation Risks, Meijerink, G., CPB, The Hague

Econonomic Tools Workshop

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Decomposition of the Inflation in the Eurozone and The Netherlands, Soederhuizen, B.; Bettendorf, L.; Meijerink, G., CPB, The Hague

Others:

• Hausgemachte Probleme verschärfen Konjonkturelle Schwäche, IW, Köln

WG on Commodity prices:

• Commodity Prices : Recent Development, Ville Kaitilia, ETLA, Helsinki

WG on External environment:

• UK and Global Economic Outlook, Kemar Whyte, NIESR, London

Medium Term:

WG on World trade:

• World Trade Outlook, Bram Hendriks, CPB, The Hague

Econonomic Tools Workshop

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Austrian Industrial Production in a Country Comparison, Marcus Scheiblecker, WIFO, Vienna;
• Deindustrialization - An European Assesment, Michael Grömling, IW, Köln;
• GDP, Energy and CO2: In the World Economy, in Europe and in Different Sectors, Ulrich Stolzenburg, IFW, Kiel;
• How hard to beat a mean: Does an Individual Forecaster Stand a Chance against the market? Martin Klucznik, Polish Economic Institute

Others:

• European Economic Forecast, Susanne Hoffmann, European Commission, Brussels,

WG on Commodity prices:

WG on External environment:

• Global Environment, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term:

WG on World trade:

• Trade Outlook, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Econonomic Tools Workshop

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Green Inflation and Great Volatility - Challenges to Green Transition, J. Rybacki, M. Klucznik, A. Juszczack, Polish Economic Institute, Warsaw
• The Effect of Rising Prices on Dutch Households : A Microsimulation Study, M. Vlekke, CPB, The Hague

Others:

• The Economic Forecast for Europe, O. Dieckmann, EC,DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Italy's Outlook, S. Tomasini, Prometeia, Bologna
• France Economic Outlook: A Lasting Microclimate, C-H. Colombier, Rexecode, Paris

WG on Commodity prices:

• Commodity Prices: Special Focus on Oil, M. Lehmus, ETLA, Helsinki

WG on External environment:

• The External Environment, L. Vincenzi, Prometeia, Bologna

Medium Term:

WG on World trade:

World Trade, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Econonomic Tools Workshop

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Global Value Chains - Introduction to Current Issues, K-J Gern, IfW, Kiel
• Closer and Greener ?  Firm's GVC participation and sustainability, F. Ole Semrau, IfW, Kiel
• Global Value Chains - Challenges and Prospects from a German Perspective, M. Grômling, IW, Köln
• Kiel Trade Indicators, V. Stamer, IfW, Kiel

Others:

• Polish Economy: Growth Stable, Social Tension and Inflation Worrisome, J. Rybacki, M. Klucznik, Polish Economic Institute, Warsaw

WG on Commodity prices:

WG on External environment:

Econonomic Tools Workshop:

• The Nowcasting Lab: A Tool for Short-Term Projections of GDP, H. Mikoschn KOF, Zurich

Medium Term:

WG on Longer-term Issues:

WG on World trade

Others:

• From Recovery to Expansion, Amid Headwinds, K. Orsini, EC, DG, ECFIN, Brussels
• Outlook for the German Economy in the Context of a New Government being formed, S. Kooths, IfW Kiel

WG on Commodity prices:

WG on External environment:

Econonomic Tools Workshop:

Medium Term:

The impact of Covid-19 on the Medium-term Outlook - Views form AIECE institutes, K-J Gern, IfW Kiel

WG on Longer-term Issues:

WG on World trade

Others:

• The European Commission's Spring 2021 Economic Forecast, O. Dieckmann, EC, DG, ECFIN, Brussels
• The Economic Scenario When Vaccines, Policies and the Pandemic Management Make the Difference, S. Tomasini, Prometeia, Bologna

WG on Commodity prices:

• Commodity Prices: Oil Price Development, M. Lehmu, ETLA, Helsinki

WG on External environment:

• The External Environment, G. Dany-Knedlik, DIW, Berlin

Econonomic Tools Workshop:

• Nowcasting Techniques, A. Caruso, Confindustria, Rome

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• China - Views from the European Commission, R. Hruzova, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• China: Opportunity, Challenge, Threat, K.-J. Gern, IFW, Kiel
• Job Churn - Productivity and Pay in Flux, K. Massey Heide

WG on World trade

• World Trade, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Others:

• The Economic Forecast for Europe, O. Dieckman, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Prospects for the UK Economy, A. Kara, NIESR, London

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• The European Economy in the Medium Term (Medium-term Report 2019). V. Kaitila and M. Lehmus, ETLA, Helsinki
• The European Economy in the Medium Term (Presentation). V. Kaitila and M. Lehmus, ETLA, Helsinki
• Economic assessment of the Dutch climate-change package. W. Suyker, CPB, The Hague
• Reading Group Introduction to Discussion. M. Groemling, IWKöln, Cologne.

Others:

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Globalization and Economic Growth: Accounting for Non-linearities. G. Kolev, IW Koeln
• Sources of Growth - Production Functions of European Automotive Industry: A micro Approach. P. Vakhal, KOPINT-TÁRKI
• Brexit: Some Implication for Ireland. K. McQuinn, ESRI, Dublin
• Prospects for the UK Economy. A. Hantzsche, A. Kara and G. Young, NIESR, London

Economic Tools Workshop:

• NIESR GDP Tracker. A. Kara, NIESR, London
• Survey based measures of supply pressure and potential output. A. Lagouge, INSEE, Paris

World Trade

• World Trade Outlook 2019, G. Meijerink, CPB, Den Haag

WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Productivity Puzzle in Germany, K. - J. Gern, IFW

Others:

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WG on Longer-term Issues:

• Labour Supply and the business cycles: Lessons from labour market flows and international forecasting practices, A. Zeilstra and K. Boxhoorn, CPB
• The World Economic Environment. World Economy in Full Swing, K-J. Gern, IFW
• Effects of Selected Economy Policy. Measures on the German Current Account Balance, K-J. Gern, IFW

Economic Tools Workshop:

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