Association of European Economic Research Institutes/Association d’instituts européens de conjuncture économique

Agenda

• Agenda of the 2025 Spring meeting

General Report:

• General Report Presentation, Kopint-Tárki, Budapest
• General Report, Part 1, Kopint-Tárki, Budapest
• General Report Part 2, Kopint-Tárki, Budapest

External Environment:

• The External Environment : US-China Trade Tensions and Global Economic Dynamics, H. Speidl, DIW, Berlin

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity Prices: Recent Development - Trumps's Tariff - A Lot of Huff anf Puff?, V. Kaitila, ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• World Trade : Recent Developments, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

• A Medium Term Perspective on the World Economy, C-H. Colombier, Rexecode

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Netherlands' Dependence on the US and the Impact of Trump's Tariffs, K. Sommers, G Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• The Covid-19 Pandemic in the Macroecnomic Model NORA, T. Gundersen, E. Quaghebeur, H. Tretvoll, Statistics Norway, Oslo
• Modeling Exchange Rate, Inflation and Interest Rate in a Small Open Economy: A Data-based Approach to Estimating a New Keynesian Model with Rational Expectations, R. Hammersland, D. Kolsrud, Statistics Norway, Oslo
• German Economic Outlook amid Policy Uncertainty and Fiscal Expansion, K-J. Gern, IfW, KIEL
• Euro Area Outlook and Monetary Policy, G. Stovesky, ECB
• Poland's Recent Growth Experience : Structural Factors, Military Spending and Labor Market Integration of Refugees, M. Klucznik, PIE, Warsaw

General Report:

• General Report - Slides, A. Leonhard, V. Juks, L. Jagrén, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise
• General Report - Part 1, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise
• General Report - Part 2, Confederation of Swedish Enterprise

External Environment:

• The External Environment, A. Drygalla, A. Lindner, IWH, Halle

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity Prices : Recent Developments - The Early-2020's shocks are behind us, V. Kaitila, ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• Trade Outlook, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• DSA with and without Crises : Insights from a Simplistic Simulation Exercise, J. Boysen-Hogrefe, IFW, Kiel

Economic Tools Workshop

• Tracking Short-Term Economic Activity in the United Kingdom, A. Kaya, NIESR, London

Others:

• Euro Area Outlook and Monetary Policy, A. Ventula Veghazy, ECB,Frankfurt
• The Draghi Report and European Business Priorities for the Next Political Cycle, L. Vinhas de Souza, BusinessEurope
• European Economic Forecast, L. Badone, EC

General Report:

• General Report Part 1 slides, R. De Santis, R. Iannaccone, ISTAT, Rome
• General Report Part 2 slides, R. De Santis, R. Iannaccone, ISTAT, Rome
• General Report Part 1, ISTAT, Rome
• General Report Part 2, ISTAT, Rome

External Environment:

• Global Economic Environment, V. Kaitila, ETLA, Helsinki

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

• World Trade, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• A brief look at some recent trends in German foreign trade, A Drygalla, A. Lindner, IWH, Halle
• Euro area outlook and monetary policy, F. Holm-Hadulla, ECB, Frankfurt
• European Economic Forecast, A. Zeana, European Commission, Brussels
• The Spanish Economy: a note, C. Llano Verduras, CEPREDE, Madrid

General Report:

• General Report, Autumn 2023, Part 1, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• General Report, Autumn 2023, Part 2, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• The Policy Environment, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• Risk and Special Questions, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• Outlook for Non-Eurozone Countries, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• Outlook for Europe, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw
• External Environmentment, Druchin, S; Klucznik, M.; Rybacki, J.; Sajnóg, S.; Sulkowski D. , Polish Economic Insititute, Warsaw

External Environment:

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity Prices : Recent Developements, Kaitila, V. , ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• Trade Slowdown and Fragmentation Risks, Meijerink, G., CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Decomposition of the Inflation in the Eurozone and the Netherlands, Soederhuizen, B.; Bettendorf, L.; Meijerink, G., CPB, The Hague

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• Hausgemachte Probleme verschärfen Konjonkturelle Schwäche, IW, Köln

General Report:

• General Report Spring 2023 Part 1, Andrej Drygalla, Axel Lindner, Birgit Schultz, IWH, Halle
• General Report Spring 2023 Part 2,Andrej Drygalla, Axel Lindner, Birgit Schultz, IWH, Halle
• General Report Spring 2023-The general Environment, IWH, Halle
• General Spring Report 2023 - Outlook for Europe, IWH, Halle
• General Report Spring 2023 - Policy Environment, IWH, Halle
• General Rerport Spring 2023-Risk and Special Questions, IWH, Halle
• General Report Spring 2023 - Further Questions on Europe, IWH, Halle

External Environment:

• UK and Global Economic Outlooks, Kemar Whyte, NIESR, London

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity Prices : Recent Development, Ville Kaitila, ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• World Trade Outlook, Bram Hendriks, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Austrian Industrial Production in a Country Comparison, Marcus Scheiblecker, WIFO, Vienna;
• Deindustrialization - An European Assessment, Michael Grömling, IW, Köln;
• GDP, Energy and CO₂ : In the World Economy, in Europe and in Different Sectors, Ulrich Stolzenburg, IFW, Kiel;
• How hard to beat a mean: Does an Individual Forecaster Stand a Chance against the Market ?, Marcin Klucznik, Polish Economic Institute;

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• European Economic Forecast, Susanne Hoffmann, European Commission, Brussels;

General Report:

• General Report Autumn 2022 Part 1, IW , Köln
• General Report Autumn 2022 Part 2, IW , Köln

External Environment:

• Global Environment, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

• Trade Outlook, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Green Inflation and Great Volatility - Challenges to Green Transition, J. Rybacki, M. Klucznik, A. Juszczack, Polish Economic Institute, Warsaw
• The Effect of Rising Prices on Dutch Households : A Microsimulation Study, M. Vlekke, CPB, The Hague

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• The Economic Forecast for Europe, O. Dieckmann, EC,DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Italy's Outlook, S. Tomasini, Prometeia, Bologna
• France Economic Outlook: A Lasting Microclimate, C-H. Colombier, Rexecode, Paris

General Report:

• General Report Spring 2022 Part 1, Analytics CCIS, Ljubljana
• General Report Spring 2022 Part 2, Analytics CCIS, Ljubljana

External Environment:

• The External Environment, Lorena Vincenzi, Prometeia, Bologna

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity prices: Special Focus on Oil, Markku Lehmus, ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• World trade, Gerdien Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Global Value Chains - Introduction to Current Issues, Klaus-Jürguen Gern, IfW, Kiel
• Closer and Greener ?  Firm's GVC participation and sustainability, Finn Ole Semrau, IfW, Kiel
• Global Value Chains - Callenges and Prospects from a German Perspective, Michael Grömling, IW, Köln
• Kiel Trade Indicator, Vincent Stamer, IfW, Kiel

Economic Tools Workshop

Others:

• Polish Economy: Growth Stable, Social Tension and Inflation Worrisome, Jakub Rybacki, Marcin Klucznik, Polish Economic Institute, Warsaw
• The Economic Forecast for Europe, Oliver Dieckmann, EC, DG ECFIN

General Report:

External Environment:

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

Medium Term

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

Economic Tools Workshop:

• The Nowcasting Lab: A Tool for Short-Term Projections of GDP, H. Mikosch, KOF, Zurich

Others:

• From Recovery to Expansion, Amid Headwinds, K. Orsini, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Outlook for the German Economy in the Context of a new government being formed, S. Kooths, IFW, Kiel

General Report:

External Environment:

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

Medium Term

• The Impact of Covid-19 on  the Medium-term Outlook - Views from AIECE Institutes , K-J Gern, IFW, Kiel

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

Economic Tools Workshop:

Others:

• The European Commission's Spring 2021 Economic Forecast, O. Dieckmann, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• The Economic Scenario: When Vaccines, Policies and the Pandemic Management Make the Difference, S. Tomasini, Prometeia, Bologna

General Report:

External Environment:

Brexit Britain in Covid Recovery World, C. Lenoël NIESR, London

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

Medium Term:

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

Economic Tools Workshop:

Others:

• ECFIN's Winter 2021 Interim Forecast, O. Dieckmann, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Lasting Economic Damage from the Pandemic, A. Elbourne, CPB, The Hague

General Report:

• General Report 2020 Part 1, CPB, The Hague
• General Report 2020 Part 1 Update, CPB, The Hague

External Environment:

Commodity Prices:

World Trade

Medium Term:

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

Economic Tools Workshop:

Others:

General Report:

• General Report 2019 Part 1, Prometeia, Bologna
• General Report 2019 Part 2, Prometeia, Bologna
• General Report - Presentation, Prometeia, Bologna

External Environment:

• The External Environment, G. Dany-Knedlik, DIW, Berlin

Commodity Prices:

• Commodity Prices: Oil Price Development, M. Lehmu, ETLA, Helsinki

World Trade

• World Trade, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Medium Term:

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• China - Views from the European Commission, R. Hruzova, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• China: Opportunity, Challenge, Threat, K.-J. Gern, IFW, Kiel
• Job Churn - Productivity and Pay in Flux, K. Massey Heide, Statistics Norway

Economic Tools Workshop:

• Nowcasting Techniques, A. Caruso, Confindustria, Rome

Others:

• The Economic Forecast for Europe, O. Dieckman, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Prospects for the UK Economy, A. Kara, NIESR, London

General Report:

• General Report_2019_1 Part 1. Statistics Norway, Oslo
• General Report_2019_1 Part 2. Statistics Norway, Oslo
• General Report 2019 Presentation Part1. Statistics Norway, Oslo
• General Report 2019 Presentation Part2. Statistics Norway, Oslo

External Environment:

• External Environment. S. Neuwirth, KOF, Zurich

Commodity Prices

• Commodity Prices. K. Knauf, HWWI

World Trade

• World Trade. CPB

Medium Term:

• Medium-term Report,ETLA Helsinki
• Medium-term Presentation, ETLA, Helsinki

Long-term Prospects & Structural Changes

• Economic Assessment of Dutch Climate-Change Package. CPB, The Hague

Others:

• The Current State of German Economy, A. Lindner, IWH, Halle
• The Economic Forecast for Europe. O. Dieckmann, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels

General Report:

• General Report 2018_2 Part 1. BIPE, Paris
• General Report 2018_2 Part 2. BIPE, Paris

External Environment:

• External Environment. K.-J. Gern, IfW, Kiel

World Trade and Commodities:

• Commodity Prices. M. Lehmus, ETLA, Helsinki
• World Trade Outlook 2019, G. Meijerink, CPB, The Hague

Economic Tools Workshop:

• NIESR GDP Tracker. A. Kara, NIESR, London

General Report:

• General Report 2018 1 Part1. KEPE, Athens
• General Report 2018 1 Part2. KEPE, Athens
• General Report 2018 1 Presentation. KEPE, Athens

External Environment

• External Environment, NIER, Stockholm

World Trade and Commodities

• Recent Development of the Commodity Prices, K. Knauf, HWWI, Hamburg
• World Trade Outlook 2018,K. Stuut, CPB, Den Haag

Others:

• The Economic Forecast for Europe, EC, DG ECFIN, Brussels
• Focus on French Fiscal Policy, COE-REXECODE, Paris